Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.625867 0.715447 0.812316 0.924726 1.051451 1.189763 1.352027
2025-03-16 0.495603 0.618891 0.763213 0.944096 1.164171 1.422641 1.748585
2025-03-23 0.410618 0.556209 0.739451 0.985678 1.306388 1.708279 2.248180
2025-03-30 0.331421 0.484796 0.691426 0.987657 1.398473 1.944603 2.721420
2025-04-06 0.278034 0.436798 0.664553 1.010998 1.519551 2.232437 3.299415
2025-04-13 0.225409 0.379275 0.613652 0.990751 1.574651 2.434605 3.783755
2025-04-20 0.196993 0.352831 0.603461 1.027564 1.716230 2.775772 4.508270
2025-04-27 0.174876 0.332117 0.598146 1.069828 1.869987 3.151174 5.326297
2025-05-04 0.151854 0.305267 0.577828 1.083222 1.977025 3.463214 6.077205
2025-05-11 0.131070 0.278373 0.552685 1.083563 2.060299 3.743298 6.803412
2025-05-18 0.113735 0.254671 0.529210 1.082603 2.139535 4.022748 7.554973
2025-05-25 0.099928 0.235367 0.510755 1.087670 2.228982 4.327320 8.378716
2025-06-01 0.089315 0.221095 0.500520 1.108257 2.352161 4.709197 9.388207
2025-06-08 0.077635 0.202159 0.477653 1.099900 2.417661 4.990904 10.241866
2025-06-15 0.070413 0.192154 0.472248 1.127180 2.557967 5.429292 11.436439
2025-06-22 0.061470 0.176111 0.450756 1.116213 2.616946 5.713531 12.357798
2025-06-29 0.055536 0.166504 0.442528 1.133698 2.738671 6.135740 13.594872
2025-07-06 0.047855 0.150574 0.416453 1.105697 2.756019 6.343146 14.410915
2025-07-13 0.044458 0.145858 0.417468 1.142800 2.925553 6.889035 15.986313
2025-07-20 0.041694 0.142401 0.421161 1.186991 3.116646 7.499438 17.754061
2025-07-27 0.037895 0.134996 0.413145 1.200137 3.234769 7.959003 19.232769
2025-08-03 0.034013 0.126455 0.400577 1.199473 3.318720 8.348779 20.590141
2025-08-10 0.030554 0.118494 0.388296 1.197746 3.399599 8.738643 21.981493